Friday 15 June 2012

Group A - Possible Scenarios

Here's what could happen on the final matchday of Group A:

1) Czech Republic wins & Greece wins:
Czech Republic 6p, Greece 4p, Russia 4p, Poland 2p
(Greece would advance because of the head-to-head record.)

2) Czech Republic wins & draw in the other match:
Czech Republic 6p, Russia 5p, Greece or Poland 2p, Poland or Greece 2p
(Poland and Greece would be separated depending on the severity of the defeat and/or on goals scored. This is not extremely important, since both teams would be out and very few might care who finished third and who finished fourth.)

3) Czech Republic wins & russia wins:
Russia 7p, Czech Republic 6p, Poland 2p, Greece 1p

4) draw in the first match & Greece wins
4-1. Greece wins by one or two goals:
Russia 4p, Greece 4p, Czech Republic 4p, Poland 3p
4-2. Greece wins by three, four or five goals:
Greece 4p, Russia 4p, Czech Republic 4p, Poland 3p
4-3. Greece wins by six or more goals:
Greece 4p, Czech Republic 4p, Russia 4p, Poland 3p
(The respective teams would advance because of goal difference in the head-to-head table and/or goals scored in the head-to-head matches in some cases.)

5) draws in both matches:
Russia 5p, Czech Republic 4p, Poland 3p, Greece 2p

6) draw in the first match & Russia wins:
russia 7p, Czech Republic 4p, Poland 3p, Greece 1p

7) Poland wins & Greece wins:
Poland 5p, Greece 4p, Russia 4p, Czech Republic 3p
(Greece would advance because of the head-to-head record.)

8) Poland wins & draw in the other match
8-1. Poland wins by less than three goals or wins by three goals but Russia matches or betters Poland's goal total minus 3 goals:
Russia 5p, Poland 5p, Czech Republic 3p, Greece 2p
(Russia would win the group because of goal difference and/or goals scored and/or UEFA national team coefficient.)
8-2. Poland wins by three goals but scores four more goals or more than Russia on the last matchday or wins by more than four goals:
Poland 5p, Russia 5p, Czech Republic 3p, Greece 2p
(Poland would win the group because of goal difference and/or goals scored.)

9) Poland wins & Russia wins:
Russia 7p, Poland 5p, Czech Republic 3p, Greece 1p

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