Sunday 17 June 2012

Group C - Possible Scenarios

Here's what could happen on the final matchday of Group C:

1) Croatia wins & Italy wins:
Croatia 7p, Italy 5p, Spain 4p, Ireland 0p

2) Croatia wins & draw in the other match:
Croatia 7p, Spain 4p, Italy 3p, Ireland 1p

3) Croatia wins & Ireland wins:
Croatia 7p, Spain 4p, Ireland 3p, Italy 2p

4) draw in the first match & Italy wins
4-1. Croatia-Spain finishes 0-0:
Italy 5p, Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Ireland 0p
(Italy would win the group because of having the most goals scored in the head-to-head records against Spain and Croatia, while Spain would advance because of having a better goal difference than Croatia.)
4-2. Croatia-Spain finishes 1-1 and Italy wins by one goal or 2-0:
Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Italy 5p, Ireland 0p
(Spain would win the group because of having the best goal difference, while Croatia would advance because of having a better goal difference and/or more goals scored than Italy.)
4-3. Croatia-Spain finishes 1-1 and Italy wins by two goals but not 2-0 or by three goals or 4-0:
Spain 5p, Italy 5p, Croatia 5p, Ireland 0p
(Spain would win the group because of having the best goal difference or a higher UEFA national team coefficient than Italy, while Italy would advance because of having a better goal difference than Croatia and/or more goals scored than Croatia and/or having a higher UEFA national team coefficient than Croatia.)
4-4. Croatia-Spain finishes 1-1 and Italy wins by four goals but not 4-0 or by more goals:
Italy 5p, Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Ireland 0p
(Italy would win the group because of having the best goal difference or more goals scored than Spain, while Spain would advance because of having a better goal difference than Croatia.)
4-5. Croatia-Spain finishes in a higher-scoring draw:
Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Italy 5p, Ireland 0p
(Spain would win the group because of having a better goal difference than Croatia, while Croatia would advance because of having, just like Spain, more goals scored than Italy in the head-to-head records between the three teams.)

5) draws in both matches:
Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Italy 3p, Ireland 1p
(Spain would win the group because of having a better goal difference than Croatia.)

6) draw in the first match & Ireland wins:
Spain 5p, Croatia 5p, Ireland 3p, Italy 2p
(Spain would win the group because of having a better goal difference than Croatia.)

7) Spain wins & Italy wins:
Spain 7p, Italy 5p, Croatia 4p, Ireland 0p

8) Spain wins & draw in the other match:
Spain 7p, Croatia 4p, Italy 3p, Ireland 1p

9) Spain wins & Ireland wins:
Spain 7p, Croatia 4p, Ireland 3p, Italy 2p

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